EaP-RAN Q4 2016


The Eastern Partnership Risk Analysis Network (EaP-RAN) performs monthly exchanges of statistical data and information on the most recent irregular migration trends. This information is compiled at  the  level  of  the  Frontex  Risk  Analysis  Unit  (RAU)  and  analysed  in  cooperation  with the regional partners on a quarterly and annual basis. The annual reports offer a more in-depth analysis of the occur-ring developments and phenomena which impact the  regional  and  common  borders while the quarterly reports are meant to  provide  regular  updates  and  identify  emerging trends in order to maintain situational awareness. Both types of reports are aimed at offering support for strategic and operational decision making.

The Eastern Partnership Quarterly statistical overview is focused on quarterly developments of the seven key indicators of irregular migration: (1) detections of illegal border-crossing between BCPs; (2) detections of illegal border-crossing at BCPs; (3) refusals of entry; (4) detections of illegal  stay;  (5)  asylum  applications;  (6)  detections of facilitators; and (7) detections of fraudulent documents.

The backbone of this overview are monthly statistics provided within the framework of the EaP-RAN (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine) and reference period statistics from common border  sections  of  the  neighbouring  EU  Member States and Schengen Associated Countries (Norway, Finland, Estonia, Latvia,  Lithuania,  Poland,  Slovakia,  Hungary and  Romania).  The data are processed, checked for errors and merged into an Excel database for further analysis.